Six true predictions for 2009: Are we learning?

At the beginning of each year every blogger, social media strategist, new media marketer, digital marketing specialist or whatever fancy name we label ourselves with these days, breaks down the festive mode with a list of predictions of what is coming in the digital sphere.

It is actually so common that bloggers often create new articles by linking various other bloggers’ opinions and predictions of the New Year into a single article of their own to either support his predictions or rubbish the predictions of others who are in disagreement. (Mouthful, isn’t it?)

The reason for this is simple: it creates the perfect platform three months down the line for when their own ideas start drying up (commonly known as writer’s blog) to publish a number of “I-told-you-so” articles.

I didn’t do that this year. Not because I’m clever, arrogant, special or different, but simply because I’m mostly still enjoying my holidays back then and only by the time people start debating the various predictions I come out of hibernation and start getting into gear for the New Year. I’m a bit slow that way – it prevents midyear burnout ;-)

So now that the dust has settled, let’s go and have a look at some of the predictions that were made for the year of 2009.

People in the know reckon:

1. …crowd sourcing will be huge in 2009!
Crowd sourcing is pretty much when you throw an idea into the public and the masses then come up with a solution. In business terms, it is quite an effective and cheap way to garner the best strategies. We have seen some good examples of this locally too.
2. …leveraging offline connections with online will be big too.
Yes, it does make sense. In 2006 and 2007 online were still in its infancy and tried its best to establish itself as a channel able to hold its own. Of course we’ve all grown up and became a little bit smarter and realized that it is convergence that is key.
3. …mobile, and the dreaded iPhone, will continue to make massive strides in user numbers and application growth.
It has taken developers eight months since the launch of the iPhone to create more applications for the iPhone than for any other phone in history (roughly 9 years). With super phones being released left, right and centre, we really did see that coming.
4. …video driven communities will take off in 2009.
Quite frankly, video has been huge in the US pretty much the whole of 2008 already, but from personal experience I have witnessed a dramatic increase in intent locally. We also do have a number of players doing a sterling job with hosting, but I fear we have yet to see the creativity of a Gary Vaynerchuk who has made wine video his own. (If you know of any, please post a link in the comments section below)
5. …monetization will aim to alleviate some pressing headaches that have been clouding the sensational rise of social media will stop companies such as five-year all Facebook and the titillating Twitter.
These companies have enormous valuations and have all enjoyed a couple of rounds of multi-million-dollar investments. Sooner or later someone will probably want to see a return on investment.
6. …e-mail as we know it will die!
Nah, just kidding. In 2009 we will send more e-mails, waste more time working through spam and see more dough drop on the floor because of that. Technology companies will however find more meaningful ways to utilize e-mail to deliver critical communications and permission-based marketing messages to its recipient base.

It is time, if you haven’t already, to figure out what the role of these predictions is inside of your business.

If you’re a social network, how will you go about securing revenue?

If you’re a regular run-of-the-mill business, how will you leverage social media to gain the competitive advantage in a very crowded and opinionated market?



2 Responses to “Six true predictions for 2009: Are we learning?”

  1. Nathan Ketsdever Says:

    Henre,

    Thanks for the link to my post about social media trends in 2009 and beyond.

    Interesting analysis. I was particularly interest analysis of email. I think this is a big, big area that we tend to forget about. Changing the game in email will be huge.

    Cheers!

  2. Henré Rossouw Says:

    Hi Nathan,

    Thanks for dropping by. Funny you should mention that, and even funnier is my 6th point of e-mail, as we know it, will die. Of course I was with tongue firmly pressed against cheek, and then Google Wave comes along and sort of hits e-mail as we know it with one tidal wave after another.

    I don’t believe Google WAVE would completely eliminate “regular” e-mail, leaving it still as a huge marketing opportunity.

Leave a Comment